Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
55.66% ( -0.58) | 23.06% ( 0.11) | 21.28% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.66% ( 0.11) | 46.34% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.62% ( -0.1) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% ( -0.16) | 16.48% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% ( -0.29) | 46.2% ( 0.29) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% ( 0.52) | 35.95% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% ( 0.53) | 72.73% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.21% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |