Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.