La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
3 - 1
Celta Vigo

Depay (30'), Aubameyang (41', 48')
Garcia (80'), de Jong (90+10'), Alba (90+12')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aspas (50')
Murillo (58')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

Last Six:

Last Game: A-League All Stars 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.05am in Pre-Season Friendlies

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Celta Vigo

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Osasuna	38	-14	47
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
65.1% ( -2.48)	20.61% ( 1.25)	14.3% ( 1.24)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

-2.68)

47.12% (

2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

-2.54)

69.36% (

2.55)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.31% (

-1.53)

13.69% (

1.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.09% (

-3.13)

40.92% (

3.14)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.27% (

0.21)

44.74% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

0.17)

80.72% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 65.08%

Celta Vigo 14.3%

Draw 20.61%

Barcelona	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.08%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.61%	0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.3%