Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 14.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.1%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
65.1% ( -2.48) | 20.61% ( 1.25) | 14.3% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( -2.68) | 47.12% ( 2.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( -2.54) | 69.36% ( 2.55) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.31% ( -1.53) | 13.69% ( 1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.09% ( -3.13) | 40.92% ( 3.14) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.27% ( 0.21) | 44.74% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.28% ( 0.17) | 80.72% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.66) 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.5) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.36) 4-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.5) 4-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.31) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.24) Other @ 2.64% Total : 65.08% | 1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.61% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.34% Total : 14.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
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