| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
| 31.17% | 26.17% | 42.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% | 51.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% | 30.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% | 67.13% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.17% | 1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.57% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.72% Total : 42.65% |