Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.