| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 63.02% | 21.81% | 15.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% | 50.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.3% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% | 15.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% | 44.19% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.54% | 45.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.7% | 81.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% 2-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.38% 5-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.07% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.52% 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 1.07% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.34% Total : 15.17% |