| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 57.71% | 23.35% | 18.94% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% | 50.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% | 72.47% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% | 17.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.41% | 47.59% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.16% | 40.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% | 77.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 5.7% 4-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.7% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.05% Total : 18.94% |