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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Anoeta
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
Atletico

Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
39.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.65% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)33.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)57.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.53% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)32.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)68.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 39.09%
    Atletico Madrid 33.25%
    Draw 27.64%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.14%
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
25.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atletico Madrid
44.4%
108
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')