| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 39.09% ( | 27.65% ( | 33.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.97% ( | 78.02% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( | 28.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( | 64.23% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.9% ( | 32.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.42% ( | 68.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.66% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.25% |