Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Elche had a probability of 25.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
25.73% ( -0.22) | 25.72% ( -0.08) | 48.55% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 50.34% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.15) | 52.99% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( 0.13) | 74.59% ( -0.13) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( -0.11) | 35.59% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( -0.11) | 72.36% ( 0.1) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.19) | 21.84% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.3) | 55.07% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.73% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 11.82% 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
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