La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 17, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 1
Espanyol

Carrasco (52', 90+10' pen.)
Kondogbia (37'), Felipe (45'), Savic (76'), Llorente (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Tomas (74')
Gil (30'), Lopez (33'), Vila (88'), Morlanes (90+3'), Vidal (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71
4	Sevilla	38	23	70

Espanyol

Last Six:

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Elche	38	-12	42
14	Espanyol	38	-13	42
15	Getafe	38	-8	39

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
65.96%	20.32%	13.71%

Both teams to score 47.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88%

47.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64%

69.36%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.56%

13.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.6%

40.4%

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.39%

45.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.59%

81.41%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 65.95%

Espanyol 13.71%

Draw 20.32%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Espanyol
2-0 @ 12.34% 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.69% Total : 65.95%	1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.32%	0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.71%