Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
65.96% | 20.32% | 13.71% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% | 47.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% | 69.36% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.56% | 13.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.6% | 40.4% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.39% | 45.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.59% | 81.41% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
2-0 @ 12.34% 1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.69% Total : 65.95% | 1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.32% | 0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1% 1-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |