| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 51.47% ( | 26.08% ( | 22.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( | 56.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( | 77.86% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( | 55.63% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.18% ( | 40.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.61% ( | 77.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.64% ( 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.44% |