Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.