| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
| 58.18% | 22.8% | 19.02% |
| Both teams to score 50.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.77% | 48.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.62% | 70.38% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.72% | 16.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.17% | 45.83% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.59% | 39.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.9% | 76.1% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.77% 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.05% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.1% Total : 58.18% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.97% 1-2 @ 5.05% 0-2 @ 2.78% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.02% |