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La Liga | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
38.86%26.56%34.58%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.69%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 38.86%
    Atletico Madrid 34.58%
    Draw 26.56%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
22.1%
Draw
32.6%
Atletico Madrid
45.3%
95
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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