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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 10, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
Athletic Bilbao logo

Granada
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Collado (35')
Quini (41'), Escudero (77'), Duarte (88'), Brice Eteki (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vesga (72')
Vesga (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

We said: Granada 0-2 Athletic Bilbao

Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here. The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
30.53% (0.669 0.67) 26.27% (0.305 0.31) 43.2% (-0.976 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.623 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (-0.962 -0.96)52.56% (0.961 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (-0.831 -0.83)74.22% (0.83 0.83)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)31.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.89399999999999 -0.89)24.15% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-1.287 -1.29)58.46% (1.287 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.53%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.2%
    Draw 26.27%
GranadaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.326 0.33)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.287 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 10.85% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 43.2%

How you voted: Granada vs Athletic Bilbao

Granada
24.2%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
55.8%
95
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Granada
Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Mar 5, 2020 8pm
Granada
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Fernandez (48'), Sanchez (76')
Sanchez (50')
Berchiche (81')
Alvarez (40'), Vesga (73'), Simon (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Valencia142481322-910
20Real ValladolidValladolid1623111134-239


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