The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
Sunday, May 22 at 9pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
57.72% ( -0.37) | 24.32% ( 0.38) | 17.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
