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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
57.72% (-0.36600000000001 -0.37) 24.32% (0.379 0.38) 17.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-1.395 -1.4)55.53% (1.393 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-1.154 -1.15)76.71% (1.153 1.15)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.664 -0.66)19.11% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-1.109 -1.11)50.73% (1.109 1.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.837 -0.84)44.92% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.679 -0.68)80.87% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 17.95%
    Draw 24.31%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 57.71%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
56.2%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Bilbao
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid31246167204778
2Barcelona31217362342870
3GironaGirona31205663392465
4Atletico MadridAtletico31194859362361
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad311311745331250
7Valencia31138103432247
8Real BetisBetis31111283837145
9Villarreal31109124954-539
10Getafe31912103743-639
11Osasuna31116143644-839
12Las PalmasLas Palmas31107142935-637
13Sevilla31810133944-534
14AlavesAlaves3188152638-1232
15Mallorca31613122536-1131
16Rayo Vallecano31613122538-1331
17Celta Vigo31610153346-1328
18CadizCadiz31413142141-2025
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria31111193062-3214


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