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May 22, 2022 at 9pm UK at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Sevilla
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao
Mir (68')
Jordan (25'), Acuna (76'), Papu (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

After multiple draws in a row, Sevilla have fallen into a pattern at the end of the season, which they do not need to get out of to secure fourth spot. Bilbao are arguably more in need of a win, but being away from home may count against them this weekend, especially considering Sevilla's strong home record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 17.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
57.72% (-0.36600000000001 -0.37) 24.32% (0.379 0.38) 17.95% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.55% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-1.395 -1.4)55.53% (1.393 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-1.154 -1.15)76.71% (1.153 1.15)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.89% (-0.664 -0.66)19.11% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.26% (-1.109 -1.11)50.73% (1.109 1.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.07% (-0.837 -0.84)44.92% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.13% (-0.679 -0.68)80.87% (0.678 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 57.71%
    Athletic Bilbao 17.95%
    Draw 24.31%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 14.2% (0.46 0.46)
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 57.71%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.452 0.45)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 4.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
56.2%
Draw
23.8%
Athletic Bilbao
20.0%
105
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')
May 3, 2021 8pm
Oct 31, 2020 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Sevilla
Muniain (76'), Sancet (86')
Garcia (30'), Martinez (54'), Williams (62'), Lopez (89'), Berchiche (90+2')
En-Nesyri (9')
Fernando (26'), Kounde (63'), Acuna (69'), Navas (88'), Carlos (90')
Jan 3, 2020 8pm
Sevilla
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Nunez (60' og.)
Carrico (31'), Ocampos (77')
Capa (15')
Capa (71'), Lopez (84'), Nunez (85'), Martinez (87')

Did you know...?
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Almeria00000000
2Athletic Bilbao00000000
3Atletico MadridAtletico00000000
4CadizCadiz00000000
5Celta Vigo00000000
6ElcheElche00000000
7Espanyol00000000
8Barcelona00000000
9Getafe00000000
10GironaGirona00000000
11Mallorca00000000
12Osasuna00000000
13Rayo Vallecano00000000
14Real Betis00000000
15Real Madrid00000000
16Real Sociedad00000000
17Real Valladolid00000000
18Sevilla00000000
19Valencia00000000
20Villarreal00000000

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