| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Mallorca |
| 38.09% | 26.75% | 35.16% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% | 53.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% | 74.94% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% | 27.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.31% | 62.69% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.01% | 28.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% | 64.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.9% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 6.06% 1-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.16% |