Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.