| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Elche had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Valencia |
| 32.4% | 27.43% | 40.17% |
| Both teams to score 49.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.5% | 56.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% | 32.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% | 68.86% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% | 27.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.94% | 63.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.91% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 7.41% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.16% |