| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Mallorca |
| 50.23% ( | 25.71% ( | 24.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( | 54.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( | 75.65% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( | 21.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( | 54.75% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.46% ( | 74.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 3-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.23% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.05% |