Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.