| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 44.85% ( | 25.24% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( | 21.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( | 54.76% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( | 30.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% ( | 66.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.92% |