| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 30.63% | 27.54% | 41.83% |
| Both teams to score 48.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.61% | 57.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% | 78.2% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.92% | 34.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% | 70.76% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.95% | 27.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.58% | 62.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 12.05% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 3.7% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.83% |