Europa League

Europa League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Vodafone Stadyumu

Galatasaray
1 - 2
Barcelona

(Barcelona win 2-1 on aggregate)

Marcao (28')
Marcao (30'), van Aanholt (72'), Bayram (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pedri (37'), Aubameyang (50')
Busquets (27'), Garcia (42'), Gavi (79'), Alba (87')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Galatasaray

Last Six:

Last Game: Antalyaspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, May 20 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Hatayspor	38	-4	53
13	Galatasaray	38	-2	52
14	Kayserispor	38	-7	47

Barcelona

Last Six:

Last Game: A-League All Stars 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.05am in Pre-Season Friendlies

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Galatasaray	Draw	Barcelona
32.82%	27.43%	39.75%

Both teams to score 49.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.57%

56.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.56%

77.43%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98%

32.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.51%

68.49%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26%

27.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68%

63.31%

Score Analysis

Galatasaray 32.81%

Barcelona 39.75%

Draw 27.43%

Galatasaray	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.81%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.43%	0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.75%