Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Galatasaray in this match.