Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.