Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 13.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.