Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Altay had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Altay win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.