Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.