Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
Kasimpasa3 - 1Hatayspor
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 46.29% | 25.83% | 27.88% |
| Both teams to score 51.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.93% | 52.07% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% | 22.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% | 56.02% |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.02% | 69.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Kasimpasa 46.28%
Hatayspor 27.88%
Draw 25.83%
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.16% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.23% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.88% |
How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Hatayspor
Kasimpasa
37.5%Draw
31.3%Hatayspor
31.3%16


