| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Barcelona |
| 18.43% ( | 23.89% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.66% ( | 53.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.12% ( | 74.88% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% ( | 43.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% ( | 79.35% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( | 18.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( | 49.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-1 @ 4.75% ( 2-0 @ 2.8% ( 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.43% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 2-2 @ 4.03% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 13.38% ( 0-2 @ 11.36% ( 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.67% |