Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 30.07% | 26.22% | 43.71% |
| Both teams to score 51.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% | 52.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% | 74.19% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% | 31.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% | 23.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% | 58.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 8.71% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 10.92% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.7% |