Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.59%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 16.28% | 21.9% | 61.82% |
| Both teams to score 48.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.25% | 48.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.14% | 70.86% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.71% | 79.29% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.76% | 15.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.08% | 43.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 5.53% 2-1 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.24% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.28% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.89% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 6.14% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.59% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.22% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.82% |