Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.