Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Granada |
49.4% | 26.33% | 24.27% |
Both teams to score 47.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.65% | 56.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.63% | 77.37% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.13% | 22.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.38% | 56.61% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% | 38.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% | 75.46% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.4% 1-2 @ 5.88% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.37% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 57 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 17 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |