Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
| 55.43% | 23.24% | 21.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% | 69.28% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.18% | 16.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.93% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.42% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.23% | 0-1 @ 6.19% 1-2 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.33% |