Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
