Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.