Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.