| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 38 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 3 | 47 |
| 13 | Bologna | 38 | -11 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| 17 | Salernitana | 38 | -45 | 31 |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 13.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
| 66.74% | 20.1% | 13.15% |
| Both teams to score 46.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% | 47.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% | 69.61% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.71% | 13.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.89% | 40.1% |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.36% | 46.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.78% | 82.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 12.62% 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 6.48% 4-0 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.69% Total : 66.73% | 1-1 @ 9.54% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.1% | 0-1 @ 4.73% 1-2 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 0.93% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.12% Total : 13.15% |