Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 15, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
3 - 0
Genoa

Osimhen (32'), Insigne (65' pen.), Lobotka (81')
Lobotka (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Galdames (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Inter Milan	38	52	84
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Genoa
79.25% ( -0.02)	13.34% ( 0.01)	7.4% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.91% (

0.03)

33.09% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.17% (

0.04)

54.82% (

-0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.42% (

-0)

6.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.52%

24.48% (

-0)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.56% (

0.05)

48.44% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.45% (

0.04)

83.55% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Napoli 79.24%

Genoa 7.4%

Draw 13.34%

Napoli	Draw	Genoa
2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.28% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.5% Total : 79.24%	1-1 @ 6.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 13.34%	0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 7.4%