/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
-
Victor Osimhen
32'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
65'
-
Stanislav Lobotka
81'
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Stanislav Lobotka
87'
-
Pablo Galdames
38'
Napoli vs Genoa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F19%2Ffabian-ruiz.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 79.25%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.7%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.29%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (2.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
79.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
13.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Genoa
7.4%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
48.17%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.91%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
33.09%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
45.17%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
54.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
93.42%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
6.58%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
75.52%
Under 1.5
24.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
51.56%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
48.44%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
16.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
83.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Napoli
79.24%
Draw
13.34%
Genoa
7.4%
Napoli
2-0
@
11.79%
▼
(-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 79.24%
3-0 @ 10.7% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 7.76% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 79.24%
Draw
1-1
@
6.29%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 13.34%
0-0 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 13.34%
Genoa
0-1
@
2.31%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 7.4%
1-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 7.4%
Stefano Sturaro
28'