Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.