| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Cagliari | 38 | -34 | 30 |
| 19 | Genoa | 38 | -33 | 28 |
| 20 | Venezia | 38 | -35 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 51.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
| 51.37% | 24.44% | 24.19% |
| Both teams to score 52.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% | 49.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% | 71.16% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.9% | 19.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.29% | 50.72% |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% | 34.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% | 71.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 9.61% 2-0 @ 9.11% 3-1 @ 5.31% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.08% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.64% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 6.13% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.19% |