Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 4.15pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
0 - 1
Bologna

Galdames (38'), Criscito (54'), Skiri Oestigaard (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Barrow (66')
Aebischer (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cagliari	38	-34	30
19	Genoa	38	-33	28
20	Venezia	38	-35	27

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Udinese	38	3	47
13	Bologna	38	-11	46
14	Empoli	38	-20	41

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Bologna
41.25% ( -0.82)	27.11% ( 0.29)	31.64% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.95)

55.49% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.78)

76.68% (

0.78)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.87)

26.48% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-1.17)

61.67% (

1.17)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.64% (

-0.11)

32.36% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.13% (

-0.13)

68.87% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Genoa 41.24%

Bologna 31.64%

Draw 27.11%

Genoa	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.64%