Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.