| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Juventus | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 69.8% | 17.83% | 12.37% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% | 39.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% | 61.44% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% | 10.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.78% | 33.22% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% | 42.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% | 78.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.96% 4-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 2.28% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.58% Total : 69.8% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 4.3% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.83% | 0-1 @ 3.67% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.37% Total : 12.37% |