Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
1 - 0
Empoli

N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henderson (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Empoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

Last Six:

Last Game: Spezia 5-1 Como
Saturday, August 6 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Sassuolo	0	0	0
16	Spezia	0	0	0
17	Lecce	1	-1	0

Empoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Empoli 1-2 SPAL
Saturday, August 6 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Cremonese	0	0	0
7	Empoli	0	0	0
8	Fiorentina	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Empoli
43.19% ( 0.08)	26.34% ( -0.02)	30.47% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.15% (

0.09)

52.85% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

0.07)

74.46% (

-0.07)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

0.08)

24.28% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

0.11)

58.66% (

-0.11)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

0.01)

31.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

0.01)

68.26% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Spezia 43.18%

Empoli 30.47%

Draw 26.34%

Spezia	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 30.47%