Coppa Italia
Aug 6, 2022 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Mbala N'Zola 43' goal
  • Daniele Verde 60' goal
  • Simone Bastoni 62' yellowcard
  • David Strelec 71' goal
  • Mbala N'Zola 76' goal
  • Daniel Maldini 89' goal
  • yellowcard Andrea Cagnano 37'
  • goal Alex Blanco 55'
  • yellowcard Alex Blanco 63'

Spezia vs Como - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions

Como

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Como had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result

Spezia 41.48% (-0.43)
Draw 25.31% (+0.04)
Como 33.22% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.04% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.4% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 47.6% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.2% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.8% (+0.02)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 77.17% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 22.83% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 43.45% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 56.55% (+0.32)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 72.63% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 27.38% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 37.16% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 62.84% (-0.31)

Score analysis

Spezia 41.48%
Draw 25.31%
Como 33.22%
Spezia
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
Como
0-1 @ 8.1% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.25% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.22%