Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Monza

Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Roma
Saturday, August 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Torino	3	2	7
6	Roma	3	2	7
7	Inter Milan	3	2	6

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Friday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Sampdoria	3	-6	1
19	Cremonese	3	-3	0
20	Monza	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 11.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.39%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Monza
68.88% ( 0.31)	19.57% ( -0.11)	11.55% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.09% (

-0.03)

48.91% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29% (

-0.03)

71% (

0.03)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

0.08)

13.12% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.23% (

0.16)

39.76% (

-0.16)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.72% (

-0.37)

50.28% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.15% (

-0.26)

84.85% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Roma 68.87%

Monza 11.55%

Draw 19.57%

Roma	Draw	Monza
2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 68.87%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.55% Total : 19.57%	0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 11.55%