Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
4 - 0
Monza

Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Caprari (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-5 Napoli
Monday, August 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Torino	2	1	4
4	Napoli	1	3	3
5	Juventus	1	3	3

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Torino
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Bologna	1	-1	0
16	Monza	1	-1	0
17	Empoli	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Monza
60.95% ( 0.5)	21.59% ( -0.05)	17.47% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.54% (

-0.53)

45.46% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.21% (

-0.51)

67.79% (

0.51)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

-0.02)

14.43% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62% (

-0.03)

42.37% (

0.03)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.44% (

-0.84)

39.56% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.75% (

-0.79)

76.25% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Napoli 60.94%

Monza 17.47%

Draw 21.59%

Napoli	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.94%	1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.59%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.47%