Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Torino | 2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Napoli | 1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Juventus | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Bologna | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | Monza | 1 | -1 | 0 |
17 | Empoli | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Monza |
60.95% ( 0.5) | 21.59% ( -0.05) | 17.47% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.54% ( -0.53) | 45.46% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% ( -0.51) | 67.79% ( 0.51) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% ( -0.02) | 14.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.62% ( -0.03) | 42.37% ( 0.03) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% ( -0.84) | 39.56% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.75% ( -0.79) | 76.25% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 60.94% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |