Serie B | 1st Leg

May 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
1 - 2
Monza

(Monza win 4-2 on aggregate)

Moreo (7')
van de Looi (17'), Leris (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gytkjaer (44', 56' pen.)
Pepin (59'), Marrone (80'), Barberis (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie B clash between Brescia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Monza
43.38% ( 0.35)	26.86% ( -0.04)	29.76% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 49.68% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.82% (

0.04)

55.18% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.58% (

0.03)

76.42% (

-0.03)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

0.2)

25.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.02% (

0.27)

59.98% (

-0.27)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.21)

33.56% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.23)

70.2% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Brescia 43.38%

Monza 29.76%

Draw 26.86%

Brescia	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.76%