Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Perugia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
