Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Parma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Frosinone | 38 | 13 | 58 |
| 9 | Perugia | 38 | 8 | 58 |
| 10 | Ternana | 38 | -3 | 54 |
Last Game: Crotone 0-1 Parma
Friday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Serie B
Friday, May 6 at 5.15pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cittadella | 38 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Parma | 38 | 5 | 49 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | -18 | 48 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Parma |
| 50.93% | 25.63% | 23.43% |
| Both teams to score 48.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
