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Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 6, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi
Monza

Perugia
1 - 0
Monza

Ferrarini (85')
Burrai (71'), Ferrarini (77'), Carretta (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Caldirola (6'), D'Alessandro (68'), Favilli (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Monza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brescia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Perugia in this match.

Result
PerugiaDrawMonza
36.43%28.3%35.27%
Both teams to score 46.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.64%59.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.26%79.75%
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52%67.48%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    Perugia 36.43%
    Monza 35.27%
    Draw 28.3%
PerugiaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 7.72%
2-0 @ 6.76%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 9.93%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.3%
0-1 @ 11.35%
1-2 @ 7.57%
0-2 @ 6.49%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 35.27%

How you voted: Perugia vs Monza

Perugia
22.2%
Draw
33.3%
Monza
44.4%
9
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 3.15pm
Monza
2-2
Perugia
Valoti (45' pen.), Ciurria (90+5')
De Luca (64' pen.), Kouan (75')
Santoro (37'), Angella (42'), Matos (60'), Burrai (70')