Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Monza
39.19% ( 0.87)	27.42% ( -0.13)	33.39% ( -0.75)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.73% (

0.36)

56.26% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.7% (

0.29)

77.3% (

-0.3)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

0.67)

27.98% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

0.85)

63.62% (

-0.85)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.44% (

-0.31)

31.55% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

-0.36)

67.95% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Pisa 39.18%

Monza 33.39%

Draw 27.42%

Pisa	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.18%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.39%