Pisa will enter the match in the better form and will also have had much longer to prepare for this contest, but Benevento have a lot of quality in the final third, and we are backing the home side to secure a narrow advantage ahead of the second leg.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 51.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benevento.