The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie B clash between Pisa and Benevento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 | Pisa | 38 | 13 | 67 |
| 5 | Brescia | 38 | 20 | 66 |
Last Game: Pisa 1-0 Benevento
Saturday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Ascoli | 38 | 10 | 65 |
| 7 | Benevento | 38 | 23 | 63 |
| 8 | Frosinone | 38 | 13 | 58 |
We said: Pisa 1-1 Benevento (Benevento win 2-1 on aggregate)
While they are very much a hit-and-miss side, Benevento possess a squad featuring top-flight experience and a serious goal threat, so should be expected to score. The enormity of the occasion may also unnerve Pisa just a little, with the pressure of performing in front of their success-starved fans perhaps proving too much to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Benevento |
43.7% ( 1.73) | 27.13% ( -0.12) | 29.17% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 48.6% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
