Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.

Result
Pisa	Draw	Benevento
43.7% ( 1.73)	27.13% ( -0.12)	29.17% ( -1.6)

Both teams to score 48.6% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.59% (

-0.13)

56.41% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.58% (

-0.11)

77.42% (

0.11)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

0.84)

25.63% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48% (

1.13)

60.52% (

-1.12)

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.35% (

-1.26)

34.65% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62% (

-1.36)

71.38% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Pisa 43.7%

Benevento 29.17%

Draw 27.13%

Pisa	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.7%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.13%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.17%